November 29, 2016

Kill the Iran Deal or Accommodate Russia? Trump Will Have to Choose

By Ilan Goldenberg

Based on Donald Trump’s campaign rhetoric some of his priorities in the Middle East – defeating ISIL and ensuring Israel’s security – will be no different than President Obama’s. Where his policies may differ will be in his stated desires to accommodate Russian interests in Syria while at the same time scrapping the Iran nuclear agreement. Taken individually, both policy shifts are highly problematic. But combined, they are impossible to successfully execute and likely catastrophic.

Already the battle lines are being drawn inside a future Trump administration with two men who are reportedly at the top of Trump’s list for secretary of state coming out in very different places. Rudy Giuliani argued recently that given the focus on terrorism and ISIL, scrapping the Iran deal was a lesser priority. John Bolton meanwhile penned an op-ed calling on Trump to abrogate the deal on his first days in office.

In a recent interview he gave to The Wall Street Journal, Trump indicated he would accommodate Putin by cutting off aid to the armed Syrian opposition paving the way for Russia, its Syrian client, and Iran to finish off the Syrian opposition in Aleppo and the rest of northwest Syria. According to Trump, in exchange for this change in policy, the United States would receive greater cooperation from Russia and the Assad regime to destroy ISIL in eastern Syria and western Iraq.

Read the full article at War on the Rocks

  • Reports
    • October 2, 2017
    Deir Azzour Tribal Mapping Project

    About Deir Azzour Syria’s Deir Azzour governorate encompasses the two most important remaining wilayat (provinces) of ISIS’ would-be caliphate, Wilayat al-Furat/Wilayat al-...

    By Nicholas Heras, Bassam Barabandi & Nidal Betare

    • Commentary
    • The Atlantic
    • June 9, 2017
    Is America Getting Sucked Into More War in Syria?

    While Washington was fixated this week by former FBI director James Comey’s testimony, on the other side of the planet, a major story was playing out that could have profound ...

    By Ilan Goldenberg & Nicholas Heras

  • Reports
    • June 7, 2017
    A Strategy for Ending the Syrian Civil War

    Executive Summary Tough talk notwithstanding, the Trump administration’s early actions in Iraq and Syria appear broadly consistent with the approach pursued by the Obama admin...

    By Colin H. Kahl, Ilan Goldenberg & Nicholas Heras

  • Podcast
    • January 11, 2017
    Nicholas Heras on New Report, "Combating Al-Qaeda in Syria"

    By Nicholas Heras & JaRel Clay

View All Reports View All Articles & Multimedia