March 27, 2014
If Deterrence Fails: Rethinking Conflict on the Korean Peninsula
In "If Deterrence Fails: Rethinking Conflict on the Korean Peninsula," Asia-Pacific Security Director Dr. Patrick Cronin charges U.S. policymakers to rethink deterrence and escalation in a changing security environment. Dr. Cronin note that preserving a strong U.S.-ROK alliance is central to this mission. The report begins with an overview of the destabilizing economic, political and military trends in North Korea. It then argues how deterrence might fail; how escalation might occur; and why South Korea and the United States might not be ready. It also suggests what might be done about it, offering operational and strategic recommendations to ensure that the U.S.-ROK alliance can better meet this potential security challenge.
More from CNAS
-
ReportsThe Financing of WMD Proliferation (JCE TEST)
The proliferation of weapons of mass destruction is a critical threat facing the international community. Numerous United Nations Security Council Resolutions (UNSCRs) place b...
By Jonathan Brewer
-
VideoAmb. Nuland on N. Korea: The U.S. 'needs to get back into real diplomacy'
Amb. Victoria Nuland, CEO of the Center for a New American Security and former Assistant Secretary of State, joins Ali Velshi to discuss reports that North Korea is moving ahe...
By Victoria Nuland
-
CommentaryHow to Tell When North Korea Starts to Denuclearize
On Monday, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo returned from what he described as “productive” conversations with North Korea’s leader, Kim Jong Un. Although details are still emer...
By Eric Brewer & Jung H. Pak
-
CommentaryPyongyang Declaration: Bringing peace to the Koreas beyond symbolism
Symbolism and atmospherics are often just as important as literal deliverables in Korean culture. This symbolic approach is not necessarily understandable to Western minds acc...
By Duyeon Kim