May 16, 2018
How the exit from the Iran deal will hurt the effectiveness of U.S. sanctions
After more than a year of negotiations and crises, President Trump decided to withdraw from the Iran nuclear deal last week as he announced that the United States would unilaterally reimpose sweeping sanctions targeting the Iranian economy. In announcing this decision, Trump drew a direct line to his ongoing negotiations with North Korea and emphasized how his decision would bolster U.S. leverage over the regime in Pyongyang. The decision, he said, demonstrates that “the United States no longer makes empty threats.”
While withdrawal will let United States once again use aggressive sanctions against Tehran, this decision will – paradoxically – negatively affect Washington’s ability to successfully use economic pressure in the future. These measures have been one of the most powerful U.S. foreign policy tools – what brought Tehran to the negotiation table in the first place. Yet, the U.S. administration is putting this powerful instrument at risk.
The damage caused by short-sighted use of sanctions on Iran will spread because these measures do not exist in isolation. Each case sets a precedent that informs future use. Separate sanctions episodes are therefore inextricably linked. Muddle on Iran sanctions will become muddle on Russia sanctions. Uncertainty over Venezuela will become uncertainty over North Korea.
The reintroduction of sanctions as part of the termination of the Iran deal will harm U.S. credibility in two key areas required for the success of any sanctions program.
Read the Full Article at the European Leadership Network
More from CNAS
-
ReportsThe Financing of WMD Proliferation
Executive Summary The proliferation of weapons of mass destruction is a critical threat facing the international community. Numerous United Nations Security Council Resolution...
By Jonathan Brewer
-
CommentaryChina and the EU Are Growing Sick of U.S. Financial Power
This month, the United States imposed on Iran its most draconian round of sanctions yet. These measures made clear something the global community has long known: When it comes...
By Elizabeth Rosenberg & Edoardo Saravalle
-
PodcastOf Sanctions - Russian Roulette Episode 69
On this election day 2018, Jeff [Mankoff] sits down with Elizabeth Rosenberg, Senior Fellow and Director of the Energy, Economics, and Security Program at the Center for New A...
By Elizabeth Rosenberg
-
Elizabeth Rosenberg Speaks with BBC's Global
Elizabeth Rosenberg recently appeared on BBC's "Global with Matthew Amroliwala" to discuss the developing impact of reimposed U.S. sanctions on Iran. WATCH: @Energy_Liz speak...
By Elizabeth Rosenberg